Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000278 0.000312 0.000348 0.000391 0.000439 0.000491 0.000553
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000216 0.000263 0.000319 0.000391 0.000480 0.000588 0.000729
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000175 0.000227 0.000293 0.000384 0.000504 0.000661 0.000883
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000152 0.000208 0.000282 0.000389 0.000540 0.000750 0.001066
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000135 0.000192 0.000271 0.000392 0.000572 0.000834 0.001252
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000115 0.000170 0.000249 0.000374 0.000570 0.000867 0.001364
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000104 0.000159 0.000241 0.000376 0.000595 0.000944 0.001554
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000099 0.000155 0.000243 0.000393 0.000645 0.001064 0.001832
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000089 0.000143 0.000231 0.000385 0.000653 0.001115 0.001996
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000078 0.000130 0.000214 0.000366 0.000640 0.001128 0.002092
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000124 0.000211 0.000370 0.000668 0.001216 0.002341
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000124 0.000215 0.000389 0.000723 0.001360 0.002720
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000116 0.000206 0.000383 0.000734 0.001424 0.002953
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000110 0.000200 0.000382 0.000754 0.001511 0.003251
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000103 0.000191 0.000374 0.000760 0.001568 0.003493
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000099 0.000189 0.000379 0.000792 0.001686 0.003892
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000096 0.000186 0.000382 0.000820 0.001799 0.004301
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000088 0.000174 0.000365 0.000802 0.001804 0.004445
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000085 0.000171 0.000367 0.000827 0.001912 0.004871
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000084 0.000174 0.000383 0.000887 0.002114 0.005579
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000038 0.000080 0.000167 0.000375 0.000888 0.002170 0.005901
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000073 0.000156 0.000357 0.000863 0.002154 0.006014
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000033 0.000071 0.000155 0.000362 0.000894 0.002290 0.006600